Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RUNE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-09 0.625406 0.814266 1.028356 1.285809 1.583838 1.914988 2.307722
2025-03-16 0.359875 0.586970 0.880985 1.274573 1.773119 2.370030 3.124999
2025-03-23 0.234718 0.480255 0.840242 1.367681 2.083994 2.989243 4.185728
2025-03-30 0.147660 0.388460 0.789570 1.428779 2.350937 3.569199 5.236255
2025-04-06 0.087200 0.307617 0.728441 1.455996 2.564796 4.087095 6.231665
2025-04-13 0.043592 0.227379 0.640246 1.419364 2.674230 4.462251 7.050676
2025-04-20 0.022113 0.178766 0.591283 1.432079 2.849705 4.930272 8.006464
2025-04-27 0.010103 0.141192 0.549704 1.446245 3.022111 5.395916 8.970061
2025-05-04 0.002884 0.101287 0.483981 1.400577 3.088447 5.703610 9.717740
2025-05-11 0.000365 0.069963 0.422038 1.346980 3.131033 5.971242 10.410703
2025-05-18 0.000009 0.053254 0.392972 1.354322 3.275270 6.395441 11.337316
2025-05-25 NaN 0.035803 0.346931 1.312992 3.325896 6.672057 12.051884
2025-06-01 NaN 0.031181 0.351167 1.393234 3.609741 7.335727 13.369078
2025-06-08 NaN 0.021975 0.324684 1.392743 3.741721 7.761144 14.343085
2025-06-15 NaN 0.020316 0.338275 1.497772 4.082051 8.535037 15.858840
2025-06-22 NaN 0.016983 0.338230 1.566056 4.353890 9.203993 17.228758
2025-06-29 NaN 0.012696 0.325467 1.596768 4.552304 9.756532 18.431538
2025-07-06 NaN 0.007385 0.291354 1.558651 4.608252 10.071649 19.275224
2025-07-13 NaN 0.004856 0.276028 1.572667 4.770192 10.567896 20.405866
2025-07-20 NaN 0.003066 0.262221 1.588005 4.934232 11.070122 21.552298
2025-07-27 NaN 0.001246 0.231481 1.539453 4.957408 11.329074 22.321102
2025-08-03 NaN 0.000327 0.201197 1.482343 4.955562 11.541751 23.018168
2025-08-10 NaN 0.000098 0.189493 1.490210 5.097693 12.009867 24.127123